CRISIL Research has assigned a CRISIL IER fundamental grade of 3/5 (pronounced three on five) to Ram Ratna Wires Ltd (RR Wires). The grade indicates that the company’s fundamentals are ‘good’ relative to other listed equity securities in India. Our fair value of the stock is ?59 per share. At the current market price of ?47 per share, our valuation grade is 5/5 indicating that the market price has strong upside from the current levels. The grades are not a recommendation to buy, sell or hold the graded instrument, or a comment on the graded instrument’s future market price or its suitability for a particular investor.
The assigned fundamental grade reflects RR Wires’ position as one of the leading players in the copper winding wires industry in India. The company markets and sells its products under the brand name RR Shramik, which is popular among the dealers and OEMs. The grade also factors in the low client concentration risk; the company has a large client base with no client constituting more than 5-6% of the overall revenues. The grade takes into account healthy growth in the future; the company is expected to achieve double-digit growth during FY15-17 driven by the revival in demand from the capital goods and consumer electrical industries, and increased focus on expanding the dealer network.
The grade also factors in the company’s focus on cost-cutting measures including reduction in power cost, which is expected to result in improved margins. The grade is, however, constrained by high leverage (debt: equity of 1.9 as on March 31, 2014) and intense competition in the industry from organized and unorganized players. Volatility in raw material prices, mainly copper, is another key risk.
Consolidated revenues are estimated to grow at a three-year CAGR of 11.3% to ?9,646 mn by FY17. EBITDA is expected to grow at a higher rate, CAGR of 22.5%, due to improvement in operating margin from 4.1% in FY14 to 5.4% in FY17. Adjusted PAT is estimated to increase to ?202 mn in FY17 from ?70 mn in FY14.
CRISIL Research has valued RR Wires by the discounted cash flow method and assigned a fair value of ?59 per share. At the current market price of ?47, the valuation grade is 5/5.
About the company
Incorporated in 1992, Ram Ratna group company RR Wires manufactures/fabricates copper winding wires and strips. It has two manufacturing plants in Silvassa (one each in Dadra and Rakholi), with a total manufacturing capacity of 18,600 MTPA. The company has a fairly diversified product portfolio comprising enameled copper wire (ECW) and strips (ECS), bare copper strips (BCS), enameled aluminum wire (EAW) and submersible winding wire (SWW).
About CRISIL Independent Equity Research
CRISIL IER (Independent Equity Research) is an independent, unbiased opinion on fundamentals and fair valuation of the company. CRISIL IER encompasses a comprehensive analysis of the four pillars of sustainable value creation, namely: Industry and business prospects, financial performance & outlook, management capabilities and corporate governance.
About CRISIL Fundamental and Valuation (CFV) Matrix
The CFV matrix addresses two important aspects in investment making decision - analysis of fundamentals (addressed through fundamental grade) and analysis of returns (valuation grade). CRISIL's fundamental grade represents an overall assessment of the fundamentals of the company graded in relation to other listed equity securities in India. The grade facilitates easy comparison of fundamentals between companies, irrespective of the size or the industry they operate in. A CRISIL IER fundamental grade of '5/5' indicates 'excellent' fundamentals and a fundamental grade of '1/5' indicates 'poor' fundamentals relative to other listed equity securities in India. CRISIL's valuation grade represents an assessment of the fair value of the company's stock for an equity investor over a 12-month period. The grade is assigned on a five-point scale from grade 5 (indicating strong upside from the current market price (CMP) to grade 1 (strong downside from the CMP). A CRISIL IER grading should not be construed as a recommendation to invest in the graded security, nor a comment on suitability of a particular investment for the reader.
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